Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 828.269148 937.891226 1060.723283 1209.345354 1385.352940 1588.443992 1842.401732
2025-04-06 644.675676 782.484581 951.417022 1176.778516 1474.223525 1860.194337 2410.496720
2025-04-13 542.276530 685.931444 871.855385 1135.477965 1508.705635 2032.829230 2852.493936
2025-04-20 495.812408 649.791425 858.706474 1171.449144 1643.531087 2357.690018 3580.209214
2025-04-27 453.017784 610.920885 833.554015 1182.212227 1738.004884 2635.316531 4302.338412
2025-05-04 421.353340 582.779270 818.326118 1202.646965 1847.074426 2953.865987 5182.142355
2025-05-11 393.653737 556.676393 801.875896 1216.942899 1945.875422 3272.414187 6158.704864
2025-05-18 376.858678 544.707567 804.886205 1261.961023 2103.714160 3731.626078 7584.925787
2025-05-25 356.468504 524.846218 792.621960 1278.353932 2210.975801 4115.835842 8990.861348
2025-06-01 334.740480 500.686854 770.466883 1273.640993 2275.943825 4426.182558 10342.157979
2025-06-08 315.077482 478.082920 748.467737 1265.907667 2332.767570 4731.346063 11816.458082
2025-06-15 302.168693 465.490052 742.246503 1286.695947 2452.119809 5212.038477 14053.484648
2025-06-22 279.914913 436.151704 705.215452 1245.807242 2437.027752 5375.882220 15430.534278
2025-06-29 260.384899 410.205668 672.288897 1209.806566 2428.661251 5561.673900 17031.361118
2025-07-06 242.021270 384.906490 638.264726 1167.299346 2397.570171 5678.143838 18457.355265
2025-07-13 235.671417 380.306970 642.186567 1204.523832 2565.339061 6414.391586 23034.733977
2025-07-20 226.627878 370.134658 634.514078 1215.677905 2670.423603 7001.114668 27520.205325
2025-07-27 219.438166 362.785907 631.577290 1236.849155 2806.277656 7739.472056 33635.846072
2025-08-03 212.088315 354.586683 626.181056 1251.662812 2928.396093 8482.596335 40796.149446
2025-08-10 208.422973 353.032387 633.958361 1298.321808 3151.690827 9697.844065 53140.426458
2025-08-17 202.099815 345.924787 629.659168 1315.316228 3292.072720 10662.779535 65625.359106
2025-08-24 194.242077 335.319094 617.151739 1310.430139 3364.670683 11384.674008 77687.898820
2025-08-31 186.665102 324.801410 604.013634 1302.413075 3426.329020 12094.657000 91578.425067